Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
2.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.91
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Thisted
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
09.03.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 1-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
10.06.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
22.04.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
05.11.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad got the better of Thisted 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 0.33 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted?

Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 55%, draw 25%, Thisted 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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