Fulham 0-3 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.51
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.28
X/2
11%
6.3
X/X
13%
4.07
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.64
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.74/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
-5% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.9 Crosses 13.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
09.11.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
27.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
23.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.05.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.12.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-3 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
0-3
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.24 xG 1.46
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
529 Passes 180
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace ran out comfortable winners over Fulham 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fulham had 71% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 29%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.24 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fulham and 0.83 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham 0-3 Crystal Palace in the England - FA Cup on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fulham 41%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fulham), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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