Crystal Palace 0-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.88
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
13%
6.53
X/2
15%
4.74
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.22/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.4 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Fulham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
23.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.05.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.12.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-3 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
28.02.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
24.10.2020 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
0-2
AWAY Fulham
1.52 xG 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
274 Passes 531
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham got the better of Crystal Palace 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fulham found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 36% of the ball to Fulham's 64%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.52 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.17 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

Crystal Palace 0-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 31%, draw 29%, Fulham 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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