Brentford vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brentford v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Brentford vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNCL
Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford edged past Bournemouth 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Brentford found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Brentford had 52% of the ball to Bournemouth's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.48 to 2.61 — on chances, Bournemouth could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brentford and 0.83 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Brentford vs Bournemouth?
Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brentford vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brentford 39%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.