Wolverhampton 2-0 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.52
X/2
14%
7.63
X/X
12%
5.18
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
9%
5.35
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.23/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.42
-25% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.5 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Southampton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
03.09.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
15.01.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-1 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
26.09.2021 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
14.02.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
11.02.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-0
AWAY Southampton
1.26 xG 0.66
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 9
213 Passes 606
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 19
3 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton beat Southampton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 29% of the ball to Southampton's 71%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wolverhampton and 0.83 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Southampton?

Wolverhampton 2-0 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 44%, draw 25%, Southampton 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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