FC Seoul 3-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
12%
8.25
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.71
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.23/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.96
-20% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daegu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
563 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
19.05.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
19.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 2-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
04.06.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
08.04.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-0 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
3-2
AWAY Daegu
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
300 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul squeezed past Daegu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 49% of the ball to Daegu's 51%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Seoul and 1.00 for Daegu.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Daegu?

FC Seoul 3-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 41%, draw 29%, Daegu 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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