Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.4
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.09
X/2
17%
6.56
X/X
11%
3.87
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
10%
5.03
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.35
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
332 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
04.08.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 3-0 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
10.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Gwangju
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
437 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Gwangju shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 60% of the ball to Gwangju's 40%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.17 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 27%, Gwangju 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
29 Mar 2025
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