Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Sep 2024

Daejeon Citizen
2-0 HT 1-0
Gwangju
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.61
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
13%
6.27
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.14
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 46%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.60/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.48
+44% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 0.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
04.08.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 3-0 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
10.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.10.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2

Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 0
216 Passes 450
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen got the better of Gwangju 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 36% of the ball to Gwangju's 64%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 34%, draw 29%, Gwangju 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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