Jeju United 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.21
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
7.08
X/2
12%
4.48
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.75
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-11.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 50%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.63/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
+46% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
Crosses 22.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
366 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
10.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
05.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
08.05.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.04.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United nicked a narrow win over Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jeju United had 44% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 56%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeju United 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 36%, draw 29%, Gimcheon Sangmu 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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