Gangwon 2-2 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 25% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
10%
6.54
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.53
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 34%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.70
+136% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.6 Crosses 8.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
05.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
25.11.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
19.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
25.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
06.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
2-2
AWAY Suwon City
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
380 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon and Suwon City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gangwon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gangwon had 53% of the ball to Suwon City's 47%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Suwon City?

Gangwon 2-2 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 42%, draw 27%, Suwon City 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gangwon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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