Dugopolje 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 27%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.42/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
05.10.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-0 HT 2-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
28.03.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
18.11.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
2-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje nicked a narrow win over Dubrava Zagreb 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dugopolje as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dugopolje had 54% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Dugopolje and 1.00 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Dugopolje 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 45%, draw 27%, Dubrava Zagreb 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dugopolje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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