Rudes 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.75
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
19.02.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR2
23.09.2024 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
0-1
AWAY Vukovar
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar nicked a narrow win over Rudes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Vukovar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rudes had 51% of the ball to Vukovar's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rudes and 1.00 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Vukovar?

Rudes 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rudes 33%, draw 29%, Vukovar 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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