Southern District RSA 1-3 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 61%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -28%
0.41/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-66% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kitchee
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-1 HT 1-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
14.09.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.05.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
24.11.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
15.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
15.10.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 7-0 HT 4-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
1-3
AWAY Kitchee
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee saw off Southern District RSA 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 42% of the ball to Kitchee's 58%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Southern District RSA and 2.83 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Southern District RSA 1-3 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 29%, draw 23%, Kitchee 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Mar 2025
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