Roda 1-4 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.31
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
21%
4.44
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
11%
6.01
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
9%
7.46
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.51/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.4 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-4D-0L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
384 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
07.04.2024 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
19.03.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
07.10.2022 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
13.02.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-4
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.38 xG 2.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 207
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roda vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo swept aside Roda 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Roda carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roda had 58% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 42%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.38 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roda and 1.00 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Roda vs VVV-Venlo?

Roda 1-4 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roda 55%, draw 21%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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