Riga FC II 1-1 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.49
No
57%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Riga Mariners win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
59%
Away Win
57%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
63%
-20.1pp
57%
BTTS No
37%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II and Riga Mariners shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Riga Mariners carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners?

Riga FC II 1-1 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 20%, draw 21%, Riga Mariners 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga Mariners), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
29 Mar 2025
17:00 Skanste vs Augsdaugava Analysis →
18:00 Marupe vs Tukums II Analysis →