29/03/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Skanste vs Augsdaugava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
21%
23%
Away Win
18%
41%
Under 2.5
44%
59%
Over 2.5
56%
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
43%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skanste v Augsdaugava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Augsdaugava
EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+0%
/
+45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
382 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Skanste vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skanste got the better of Augsdaugava 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Skanste vs Augsdaugava?
Skanste 2-0 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skanste vs Augsdaugava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Skanste 52%, draw 25%, Augsdaugava 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Skanste)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Mar 2025