Atmosfera 1-4 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.49/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.83
-20% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
03.05.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
03.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
01.05.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 1-3 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II swept aside Atmosfera 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Atmosfera and 1.50 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Panevezys II?

Atmosfera 1-4 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 54%, draw 24%, Panevezys II 22%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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