Melhus 1-0 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.04/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.92
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +88%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 Melhus Melhus 2-0 HT 2-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
27.04.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
13.08.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
18.06.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Melhus Melhus NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus nicked a narrow win over Trygg/Lade 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 19% / 43%) promised a tight game; Melhus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melhus had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Melhus and 0.75 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Trygg/Lade?

Melhus 1-0 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Melhus 38%, draw 19%, Trygg/Lade 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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