Fredrikstad 3-0 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.24
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
10%
6.8
X/2
16%
4.8
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.08
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.99/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.30
-92% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
25.0 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brann
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.10 xG 1.43
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
150 Passes 602
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-4 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
07.04.2024 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
22.10.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR1
30.06.2022 Brann Brann 6-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
21.05.2022 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
14.09.2015 Brann Brann 5-1 HT 4-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
3-0
AWAY Brann
0.89 xG 0.42
28% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
145 Passes 543
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad swept aside Brann 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 28% of the ball to Brann's 72%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fredrikstad and 3.50 for Brann.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Fredrikstad 3-0 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 31%, draw 24%, Brann 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Brann), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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