Khimki 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
46%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.68
X/2
14%
5.68
X/X
7%
4.36
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.92
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.99/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.17
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
14.0 Crosses 22.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
03.06.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
22.11.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
13.09.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
24.07.2022 Khimki Khimki 3-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
17.04.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki got the better of Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Khimki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Khimki and 0.83 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Khimki 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Khimki 38%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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