Ilirija 1-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 29 Mar 2025

Ilirija
1-1 HT 0-0
Krka
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-12% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Krka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
15.03.2024 Krka Krka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
04.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 3-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVNK
03.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
04.05.2023 Krka Krka 3-2 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
23.10.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
1-1
AWAY Krka
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija and Krka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Ilirija had 52% of the ball to Krka's 48%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilirija and 1.33 for Krka.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Krka?

Ilirija 1-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilirija win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 35%, draw 31%, Krka 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ilirija), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilirija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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