Basconia 6-4 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-1.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basconia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basconia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alfaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Alfaro Alfaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Basconia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basconia
6-4
AWAY Alfaro
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Basconia vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basconia beat Alfaro 6-4. Half-time: 2-0. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basconia as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Basconia had 57% of the ball to Alfaro's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Basconia vs Alfaro?

Basconia 6-4 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basconia vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basconia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Basconia 68%, draw 19%, Alfaro 13%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basconia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basconia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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