Alfaro 1-1 Basconia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfaro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Basconia EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfaro
1-1
AWAY Basconia
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alfaro vs Basconia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfaro and Basconia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alfaro had 35% of the ball to Basconia's 65%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Alfaro vs Basconia?

Alfaro 1-1 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Basconia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basconia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 34%, draw 28%, Basconia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basconia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basconia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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