Naxara vs Gernika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxara v Gernika — Team-Based Signals
Naxara vs Gernika Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Naxara
İS4
3-2
HT 2-1
Naxara
İS4
0-1
HT 0-1
Gernika
İS4
Gernika swept aside Naxara 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Naxara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gernika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Naxara and 1.50 for Gernika.
What was the final score of Naxara vs Gernika?
Naxara 1-4 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxara vs Gernika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naxara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Naxara 44%, draw 26%, Gernika 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naxara), Under 2.5 went the other way.