Colonia Moscardo 1-1 RSD Alcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RSD Alcala EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-1
AWAY RSD Alcala
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs RSD Alcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo and RSD Alcala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 52% of the ball to RSD Alcala's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs RSD Alcala?

Colonia Moscardo 1-1 RSD Alcala in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs RSD Alcala?

Before kick-off our model rated an RSD Alcala win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 35%, draw 25%, RSD Alcala 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RSD Alcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RSD Alcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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