Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 49%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+110% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano II
3-2
AWAY Real Madrid III
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano II edged past Real Madrid III 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rayo Vallecano II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano II had 41% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 59%, shots finished 12-21.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Madrid III?

Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano II 33%, draw 28%, Real Madrid III 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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