Castellon II 1-3 Porreres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.8pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castellon II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Porreres EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.02/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-29% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Castellon II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Porreres
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2025 Porreres 2-3 HT 0-1 Castellon II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Castellon II
1-3
AWAY Porreres
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
15 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Castellon II vs Porreres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porreres beat Castellon II 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Castellon II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Castellon II had 65% of the ball to Porreres's 35%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Castellon II vs Porreres?

Castellon II 1-3 Porreres in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castellon II vs Porreres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Castellon II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Castellon II 45%, draw 32%, Porreres 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Castellon II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Castellon II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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