Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 RSD Alcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.67
Over
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Rayo Majadahonda win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY RSD Alcala The Market 19%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.77
-2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RSD Alcala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 RSD Alcala RSD Alcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
1-2
AWAY RSD Alcala
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSD Alcala edged past Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rayo Majadahonda at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 50% of the ball to RSD Alcala's 50%.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala?

Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 RSD Alcala in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 60%, draw 23%, RSD Alcala 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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