Utebo 2-3 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.45/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.62
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
203 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
29.11.2025 Real Union Real Union 4-1 HT 3-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-3
AWAY Real Union
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union edged past Utebo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Union as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Utebo had 54% of the ball to Real Union's 46%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Real Union?

Utebo 2-3 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utebo 36%, draw 22%, Real Union 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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