Freiburg (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 29 Mar 2026

Freiburg (K)
1-2 HT 1-2
Hoffenheim (K)
📅29/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.22/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.52
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.3 Crosses 16.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
2.07 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
326 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.11.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
02.02.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
16.09.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
22.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-4 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
04.11.2023 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-2
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.40 xG 1.28
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 9
216 Passes 481
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) nicked a narrow win over Freiburg (K) 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 35% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 65%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.40 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Freiburg (K) and 2.60 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 33%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim (K) 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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