Aruba 4-1 Lihtenştayn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
4-1
AWAY Lihtenştayn
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Lihtenştayn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aruba cruised past Lihtenştayn 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lihtenştayn at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aruba had 52% of the ball to Lihtenştayn's 48%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Lihtenştayn?

Aruba 4-1 Lihtenştayn in the Friendlies on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Lihtenştayn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lihtenştayn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aruba 30%, draw 27%, Lihtenştayn 43%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lihtenştayn) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
29 Mar 2026
04:00 Meksika vs Portekiz Analysis →
16:00 Litvanya vs Gürcistan Analysis →
16:00 Makao vs Tanzanya Analysis →
17:00 Ermenistan vs Belarus Analysis →
22:00 Kolombiya vs Fransa Analysis →