Ermenistan 1-2 Belarus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Mar 2026

Ermenistan
1-2 HT 0-1
Belarus
📅29/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Ermenistan vs Belarus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
46%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ermenistan v Belarus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus EU Bookmakers 33%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
2.06/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.25
+29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 15.5
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Ermenistan vs Belarus Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Belarus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.11.2017 Ermenistan Ermenistan 4-1 HT 2-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ
25.03.2016 Ermenistan Ermenistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ
15.08.2012 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-2 HT 0-1 Belarus Belarus HAZ
03.03.2010 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-3 HT 0-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ

Ermenistan 1-2 Belarus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan
1-2
AWAY Belarus
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Ermenistan vs Belarus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus squeezed past Ermenistan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Belarus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ermenistan had 71% of the ball to Belarus's 29%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Belarus led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ermenistan and 1.50 for Belarus.

What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Belarus?

Ermenistan 1-2 Belarus in the Friendlies on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Belarus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belarus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 35%, draw 25%, Belarus 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belarus), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belarus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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