Kolombiya 1-3 Fransa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.34
1/2
7%
22.65
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
8%
7.58
X/2
15%
4.81
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
31%
2.63
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.02/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.36
-98% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 85%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fransa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
417 Passes 526
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2018 Fransa Fransa 2-3 HT 2-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
03.06.2008 Fransa Fransa 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya
1-3
AWAY Fransa
1.20 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
308 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolombiya vs Fransa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa saw off Kolombiya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kolombiya had 45% of the ball to Fransa's 55%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.20 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kolombiya and 1.50 for Fransa.

What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Fransa?

Kolombiya 1-3 Fransa in the Friendlies on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Fransa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 24%, draw 23%, Fransa 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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