El Geish 2-1 Wadi Degla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 26%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wadi Degla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2026 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 3-1 El Geish El Geish MISLK
19.09.2025 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
25.05.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
15.01.2021 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
21.09.2020 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
03.01.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
2-1
AWAY Wadi Degla
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Wadi Degla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Wadi Degla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Geish as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, El Geish had 56% of the ball to Wadi Degla's 44%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Geish and 0.83 for Wadi Degla.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Wadi Degla?

El Geish 2-1 Wadi Degla in the Egypt - League Cup on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Wadi Degla?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Geish 41%, draw 25%, Wadi Degla 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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