Naples 0-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒02:12 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
+51% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.0 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Naples USL1
16.03.2025 Naples 2-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
0-1
AWAY Forward Madison
1.20 xG 1.06
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
354 Passes 152
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naples vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison edged past Naples 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naples at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Naples had 65% of the ball to Forward Madison's 35%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.20 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naples had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naples and 0.00 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Naples vs Forward Madison?

Naples 0-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naples 46%, draw 26%, Forward Madison 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naples) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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