Mumbai City 2-0 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 29 Apr 2024

Mumbai City
2-0 HT 0-0
FC Goa
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Mumbai City vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
+25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.2 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Mumbai City vs FC Goa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Goa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
28.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
11.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 2-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
01.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL

Mumbai City 2-0 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
2-0
AWAY FC Goa
2.27 xG 0.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
253 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City saw off FC Goa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mumbai City had 45% of the ball to FC Goa's 55%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.27 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mumbai City and 1.17 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Mumbai City 2-0 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 45%, draw 27%, FC Goa 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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