Burton Albion 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.13
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 66%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.3 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
195 Passes 393
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
29.03.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
03.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.04.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
30.10.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
24.04.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.03 xG 0.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
196 Passes 331
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion and Wigan Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Burton Albion at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Burton Albion had 42% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.03 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burton Albion and 1.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic?

Burton Albion 1-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 42%, draw 29%, Wigan Athletic 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burton Albion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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