Stockton Town vs Guiseley Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stockton Town v Guiseley — Team-Based Signals
Stockton Town vs Guiseley Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Stockton Town 1-0 Guiseley — Actual Match Statistics
Stockton Town edged past Guiseley 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Stockton Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Stockton Town had 45% of the ball to Guiseley's 55%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stockton Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stockton Town and 1.00 for Guiseley.
What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Guiseley?
Stockton Town 1-0 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Guiseley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 40%, draw 26%, Guiseley 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.