Worksop Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Worksop Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Worksop Town vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Worksop Town 2-1 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Worksop Town nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Worksop Town had 55% of the ball to Ashton United's 45%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worksop Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Worksop Town and 1.00 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Ashton United?
Worksop Town 2-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 52%, draw 29%, Ashton United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.