Ashton United 2-0 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over Pick
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.46/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.39
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Worksop Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
2-0
AWAY Worksop Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United saw off Worksop Town 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Worksop Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ashton United had 47% of the ball to Worksop Town's 53%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Worksop Town?

Ashton United 2-0 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 31%, draw 26%, Worksop Town 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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