Ashton United 2-3 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.1
Over
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.41/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.99
-2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Worksop Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 2-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
03.02.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town edged past Ashton United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ashton United and 0.50 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Worksop Town?

Ashton United 2-3 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 26%, draw 28%, Worksop Town 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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