Almeria vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Almeria
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Racing Ferrol
İS2
1-6
HT 0-2
Racing Ferrol
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
Almeria 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria squeezed past Racing Ferrol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 54% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 46%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.51 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almeria and 1.50 for Racing Ferrol.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Racing Ferrol?
Almeria 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Racing Ferrol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Almeria 60%, draw 26%, Racing Ferrol 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.