Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Apr 2025

Defensa y Justicia
1-2 HT 0-0
Racing Club
📅29/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Defensa y Justicia vs Racing Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 37% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.62
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.29
X/2
14%
4.73
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.89
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 7.29 — our 18% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.0pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Racing Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.14/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.07
+9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.0 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Defensa y Justicia vs Racing Club Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Racing Club
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 1.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
246 Passes 360
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 4-3 HT 3-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
17.03.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
02.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
06.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-3 HT 2-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.02.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Racing Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-2
AWAY Racing Club
0.96 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
228 Passes 306
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club nicked a narrow win over Defensa y Justicia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Racing Club made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 45% of the ball to Racing Club's 55%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.96 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 2.17 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Racing Club?

Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 35%, draw 29%, Racing Club 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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