Botafogo SP vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo SP v Goias — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Botafogo SP 0-1 Goias — Actual Match Statistics
Goias squeezed past Botafogo SP 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Goias made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 56% of the ball to Goias's 44%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.43 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Botafogo SP.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botafogo SP and 2.00 for Goias.
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Goias?
Botafogo SP 0-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Goias?
Before kick-off our model rated an Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 31%, draw 31%, Goias 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.