Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.61
2-3
43%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.13
6+
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi The Market 34%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
+19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.6 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.02.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
11.07.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
27.03.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.09.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 3-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
11.07.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
299 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi squeezed past Jubilo Iwata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Renofa Yamaguchi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 57% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 43%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 39%, draw 28%, Renofa Yamaguchi 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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