Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.84
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
22%
2.91
6+
10%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.88/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.20
+13% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
28.10.2025 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İCON
09.03.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 4-2 HT 3-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
09.12.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-0 HT 3-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United FAK
12.08.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.03.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Maidenhead United
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers saw off Maidenhead United 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.50 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead United?

Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 53%, draw 24%, Maidenhead United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Apr 2026
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