Macclesfield 2-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.8
Over
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.94
2-3
44%
1.71
4-5
19%
3.54
6+
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.94 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 34%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.75
+74% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chester
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2026 Macclesfield Macclesfield 0-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
30.12.2025 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 1-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
2-1
AWAY Chester
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield edged past Chester 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macclesfield had 63% of the ball to Chester's 37%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Macclesfield and 2.00 for Chester.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Chester?

Macclesfield 2-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 45%, draw 30%, Chester 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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