Den Bosch vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Den Bosch v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Den Bosch vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
Den Bosch 2-3 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Almere City nicked a narrow win over Den Bosch 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Almere City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Den Bosch had 44% of the ball to Almere City's 56%, shots finished 15-28, expected goals 1.84 to 3.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almere City's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Almere City?
Den Bosch 2-3 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 36%, draw 22%, Almere City 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.