Almere City vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
Almere City 1-2 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics
Den Bosch edged past Almere City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Almere City had 59% of the ball to Den Bosch's 41%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 3.16 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Almere City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Almere City and 1.33 for Den Bosch.
What was the final score of Almere City vs Den Bosch?
Almere City 1-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs Den Bosch?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Almere City 50%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City) went the other way.