Helmond Sport 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Apr 2026

Helmond Sport
2-2 HT 2-2
RKC Waalwijk
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.81
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.55
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
12%
8.34
X/2
11%
4.63
X/X
7%
5.74
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.35
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.23/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.08
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.4 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-2D-4L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.30 xG 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.08.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
22.03.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
17.11.2018 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
28.04.2018 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
01.12.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.03.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2

Helmond Sport 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-2
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.62 xG 3.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 1
279 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Helmond Sport and RKC Waalwijk shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 6 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 41% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 59%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.62 to 3.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Helmond Sport and 2.17 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk?

Helmond Sport 2-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 31%, draw 20%, RKC Waalwijk 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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